Projected increase in diurnal and interdiurnal variations of European summer temperatures

J. Cattiaux; H. Douville; R. Schoetter; S. Parey; P. Yiou

doi:10.1002/2014gl062531

journal article Feb 11, 2015

Projected increase in diurnal and interdiurnal variations of European summer temperatures

J. Cattiaux

H. Douville R. Schoetter S. Parey P. Yiou

Geophysical Research Letters Vol. 42 No. 3 pp. 899-907 · American Geophysical Union (AGU)

View at Publisher Save 10.1002/2014gl062531

Abstract

AbstractBeyond the mean warming, climate change may modify the temperature variability, with consequences on extreme events causing societal and environmental impacts. Here we assess future changes in both the interdiurnal variability (ITV) and diurnal range (DTR) of European summer temperatures based on Fifth Phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project projections under three 21st century scenarios. Both indices are projected to increase, with a rather good model agreement on the sign, while uncertainties remain on the amplitude. Extremely high day‐to‐day and diurnal temperature variations are expected to occur more frequently. Across models and scenarios, ITV and DTR increases vary primarily as functions of the decrease in surface evapotranspiration linked to the European summer drying. They are also partly explained by changes in the atmospheric dynamics and the surface cloud radiative effect. Model‐dependent degrees of control of (i) ITV and DTR by mean temperature and (ii) surface evapotranspiration by soil moisture appear as helpful metrics to reduce future uncertainties in ITV and DTR projections.

Topics

No keywords indexed for this article. Browse by subject →

References

23

[1]

10.1007/s00382-013-1868-8

[2]

10.1007/s00382-011-1211-1

[3]

10.1007/s00382-013-1731-y

[4]

10.1007/s00382-012-1436-7

[5]

10.1007/s00382-008-0473-8

[6]

10.1029/2012gl052730

[7]

10.1002/jgrd.50703

[8]

10.1029/2008jd10201

[9]

10.1007/s00382-013-1795-8

[10]

10.1007/s10584-006-9220-5

[11]

10.1175/jcli-d-13-00032.1

[12]

10.1007/s00382-014-2144-2

[13]

10.1016/j.agrformet.2007.05.002

[14]

10.1038/ngeo2141

[15]

10.1007/s00382-009-0557-0

[16]

10.1002/jgrd.50629

[17]

10.1175/1520-0469(1960)017<0001:tivosa>2.0.co;2

[18]

10.1038/nature02300

[19]

10.1038/nature05095

[20]

10.1002/jgrd.50188

[21]

10.1007/s00382-012-1559-x

[22]

10.1029/2008gl036836

[23]

10.1175/2009jcli2568.1

Cited By

36

Prediction and projection of heatwaves

Daniela I. V. Domeisen, Elfatih A. B. Eltahir · 2022

Nature Reviews Earth & Environm...

Metrics

36

Citations

23

References

Details

Published: Feb 11, 2015
Vol/Issue: 42(3)
Pages: 899-907
License: View

Authors

J

J. Cattiaux

CNRM‐GAME UMR 3589 CNRS/Météo‐France Toulouse France

H

H. Douville

CNRM‐GAME UMR 3589 CNRS/Météo‐France Toulouse France

R

R. Schoetter

CNRM‐GAME UMR 3589 CNRS/Météo‐France Toulouse France

S

S. Parey

EDF/R&D Chatou France

P

P. Yiou

LSCE/IPSL UMR 8212 CEA/CNRS/UVSQ Gif‐sur‐Yvette France

Funding

Climate-KIC E3P

EU-FP7 EUCLIPSE

Cite This Article

J. Cattiaux, H. Douville, R. Schoetter, et al. (2015). Projected increase in diurnal and interdiurnal variations of European summer temperatures. Geophysical Research Letters, 42(3), 899-907. https://doi.org/10.1002/2014gl062531

Projected increase in diurnal and interdiurnal variations of European summer temperatures

You May Also Like