Impact of ocean–atmosphere coupling on future projection of Medicanes in the Mediterranean sea

Jesús Gutiérrez‐Fernández; Juan J. González‐Alemán; Alba de la Vara; William Cabos; Dmitry V. Sein; Miguel Ángel Gaertner

doi:10.1002/joc.6955

journal article Open Access Dec 15, 2020

Impact of ocean–atmosphere coupling on future projection of Medicanes in the Mediterranean sea

Jesús Gutiérrez‐Fernández

Juan J. González‐Alemán

Alba de la Vara

William Cabos

Dmitry V. Sein Miguel Ángel Gaertner

International Journal of Climatology Vol. 41 No. 4 pp. 2226-2238 · Wiley

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Abstract

AbstractCyclones with tropical characteristics called medicanes (“Mediterranean Hurricanes”) eventually develop in the Mediterranean Sea. They have large harmful potential and a correct simulation of their evolution in climate projections is important for an adequate adaptation to climate change. Different studies suggest that ocean–atmosphere coupled models provide a better representation of medicanes, especially in terms of intensity and frequency. In this work, we use the regionally‐coupled model ROM to study how air‐sea interactions affect the evolution of medicanes in future climate projections. We find that under the RCP8.5 scenario our climate simulations show an overall frequency decrease which is more pronounced in the coupled than in the uncoupled configuration, whereas the intensity displays a different behaviour depending on the coupling. In the coupled run, the relative frequency of higher‐intensity medicanes increases, but this is not found in the uncoupled simulation. Also, this study indicates that the coupled model simulates better the summer minimum in the occurrence of medicanes, avoiding the reproduction of unrealistically intense events that can be found in summer in the uncoupled model.

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Details

Published: Dec 15, 2020
Vol/Issue: 41(4)
Pages: 2226-2238
License: View

Authors

J

Jesús Gutiérrez‐Fernández

Environmental Sciences Institute University of Castilla‐La Mancha Toledo Spain

J

Juan J. González‐Alemán

Environmental Sciences Institute University of Castilla‐La Mancha Toledo Spain

A

Alba de la Vara

Environmental Sciences Institute University of Castilla‐La Mancha Toledo Spain; Departamento de Matemática Aplicada a la Ingeniería Industrial, E.T.S.I. Industriales Universidad Politécnica de Madrid Madrid Spain

W

William Cabos

Department of Physics University of Alcalá Madrid Spain

D

Dmitry V. Sein

Alfred Wegener Institute for Polar and Marine Research Bremerhaven Germany; Shirshov Institute of Oceanology, Russian Academy of Sciences Moscow Russia

M

Miguel Ángel Gaertner

Environmental Sciences Faculty University of Castilla‐La Mancha Toledo Spain

Funding

European Social Fund

European Regional Development Fund

Agencia Estatal de Investigación

Universidad de Castilla-La Mancha

MINISTERIO DE CIENCIA E INNOVACIÓN Award: CGL2017‐89583‐R

Cite This Article

Jesús Gutiérrez‐Fernández, Juan J. González‐Alemán, Alba de la Vara, et al. (2020). Impact of ocean–atmosphere coupling on future projection of Medicanes in the Mediterranean sea. International Journal of Climatology, 41(4), 2226-2238. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.6955

Impact of ocean–atmosphere coupling on future projection of Medicanes in the Mediterranean sea

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