journal article Aug 16, 2018

Projecting the current and future potential global distribution of Hyphantria cunea (Lepidoptera: Arctiidae) using CLIMEX

Pest Management Science Vol. 75 No. 1 pp. 160-169 · Wiley
Abstract
AbstractBACKGROUNDThe international invasive and quarantined defoliating insect Hyphantria cunea Drury (Lepidoptera: Arctiidae) causes huge ecological and economic losses in the world. Furthermore, future climate change may alter the distribution of H. cunea and aggravate the damage. In the present study, we used CLIMEX to project the potential global distribution of H. cunea according to both historical climate data (1961–1990) and future climate warming estimates (2011–2100) to define the impact of climate change.RESULTSUnder the historical climate scenario, we found that H. cunea can survive on every continent, and temperature is the main factor that limits its establishment. With climate change, suitability will increase in middle and high latitude regions, while decrease in the low latitude regions. Moreover, tropic regions will be the most sensitive to climate change impacts for the pest to survive. The impacts of climate change will also increase over time, whether they be positive impacts or negative impacts.CONCLUSIONThe projected potential distributions provide a theoretical basis for quarantine and control strategies for the management of this pest in each country. Furthermore, these results provide substantial guidance for studies of the effects of climate change on other major forest pests. © 2018 Society of Chemical Industry
Topics

No keywords indexed for this article. Browse by subject →

References
50
[1]
Warren LO "Fall webworm, Hyphantria cunea (Drury)" Ark Agr Exp Sta Bull (1970)
[2]
Umeya K (1977)
[3]
CABI.Distribution Maps of Plant Pests. [Online]. Available:https://www.cabi.org/cpc/datasheet/28302[3 January 2018].
[4]
EPPO Global Data Base.Hypanthia cunea(Drury). [Online]. Available:https://gd.eppo.int/taxon/HYPHCUaccessed [10 January 2018].
[5]
Chinese Forestry Protection Information Website. [Online]. Available:http://www.forestpest.org/quarantine/pest/40289447520b927501520b966094033d.htmlaccessed [6 January 2018].
[6]
Zhang X "Research progress on the Hyphantria cunea (Drury) of alien invasive species" J Anhui Agric Sci (2009)
[7]
Li S "Control the spread of Hyphantria cunea on garden plants" J Hebei Forestry Sci Technol (2008)
[9]
2015 Annales De Linstitut Phytopathologique Benaki S Mouloudis P Vassilainaalexopoulou F Papadogeorgopoulos PA Mourikis The Presence of Hyphantria cunea (Drury) Lepidoptera: Arctiidae in Greece 253 255
[10]
Járfás J "Activity and nutrition of the fall webworm (Hyphantria cunea Drury, Lepidoptera: Arctiidae)" I Kertészeti Egyetem Közleményei (1986)
[11]
2005 Beijing Forestry Univ Beijing T Zhao Damage Analysis and Loss Evaluation after Hyphantria cunea (Drury)s Invading China
[12]
2014 Cambridge University Press TF Stocker D Qin GK Plattner M Tignor SK Allen J Boschung Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis
[13]
1984 University of Chicago Press HG Andrewartha LC Birch The Ecological Web: More on the Distribution and Abundance of Animals
[18]
Mika AM "Climate change scenarios and models yield conflicting predictions about the future risk of an invasive species in North America" Agric Forest Entomol (2010) 10.1111/j.1461-9563.2009.00464.x
[20]
Kriticos DJ (2001)
[27]
Jin R "Primarily study on the potential distribution for Hypanthia cunea (Drury)" Plant Quarantine (1991)
[28]
1991 Beijing Agricultural University W Lin Adaptability Research of American White Moth in China
[29]
Li S "Studies of risk assessment of Hyphantria cunea (Drury)" Chin Agric Sci Bull (2009)
[30]
2013 Chin Acad Forestry Beijing M Yang Prediction of fall webworm's potential suitable geographic distribution in different weather conditions in China
[31]
Kriticos DJ (2015)
[32]
Hu H "Simulation and projection for China's regional low temperature events with CMIP5 multi‐model ensembles" Clim Change Res (2016)
[33]
Tao C "Evaluation of CMIP5 models performance on climate simulation in Northeast China" Clim Environ Res (2016)
[34]
Zhang Y "Simulations and projections of the surface air temperature in China by CMIP5 models" Clim Change Res (2016)
[35]
EPPO Global Data Base.Hypanthia cunea(Drury). [Online]. Available:https://gd.eppo.int/taxon/HYPHCU/distribution[23 December 2017].
[36]
GBIF.Hypanthia cunea(Drury). [Online]. Available:https://doi.org/10.15468/dl.ojrg32[19 December 2017].
[37]
Ju Z "Super‐cooling ability and its relations to body's water and fat contents of overwintering Hyphantrian cunea (Lepidoptera: Arcidae) pupae" Chin J Appl Ecol (2009)
[38]
Kong XH "Effect of extreme temperatures on survival, development effect of extreme temperatures on survival development and growth of Hyphantria cunea" Shandong Agric Univ, Shandong (2010)
[39]
Luo Y (2010)
[40]
Wang S "Epidemic monitoring and control of Hypanthia cunea (Drury) in Beijing" Beijing Garden (2007)
[41]
Zhang L (1999)
[43]
Yaroshenko VA "Particulars of the flight of the American white butterfly" Zashchita Rastenii (1975)
[44]
Zhang S "Hyphantria cunea, a phytosanitary pest which should be vigilant treated" Plant Quarantine (1979)
[45]
Fedosov SA "Diurnal rhythm in the hatching of larvae of the fall web worm moth (Hyphantria cunea) and its regulation by environmental factors" Zool Zhurnal (1989)
[46]
Tauber MJ (1986)
[48]
Chen C "Diapause induction and termination in Hyphantria cunea (Drury) (Lepidoptera: Arctiinae)" PloS ONE (2014)
Metrics
98
Citations
50
References
Details
Published
Aug 16, 2018
Vol/Issue
75(1)
Pages
160-169
License
View
Funding
Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities Award: 2016ZCQ07
Cite This Article
Xuezhen Ge, Shanyong He, Chenyi Zhu, et al. (2018). Projecting the current and future potential global distribution of Hyphantria cunea (Lepidoptera: Arctiidae) using CLIMEX. Pest Management Science, 75(1), 160-169. https://doi.org/10.1002/ps.5083
Related

You May Also Like

The strobilurin fungicides

Dave W Bartlett, John M Clough · 2002

1,374 citations

Glyphosate: a once‐in‐a‐century herbicide

Stephen O Duke, Stephen B Powles · 2008

1,372 citations

Applied aspects of neonicotinoid uses in crop protection

Alfred Elbert, Matthias Haas · 2008

772 citations

Imidazolinone‐tolerant crops: history, current status and future

Siyuan Tan, Richard R Evans · 2004

461 citations