Fluid Injection and Time‐Dependent Seismic Hazard in the Barnett Shale, Texas

Guang Zhai; Manoochehr Shirzaei

doi:10.1029/2018gl077696

journal article May 22, 2018

Fluid Injection and Time‐Dependent Seismic Hazard in the Barnett Shale, Texas

Guang Zhai

Manoochehr Shirzaei

Geophysical Research Letters Vol. 45 No. 10 pp. 4743-4753 · American Geophysical Union (AGU)

View at Publisher Save 10.1029/2018gl077696

Abstract

AbstractThe Barnett Shale in Texas experienced an increase in seismicity since 2008, coinciding with high‐volume deep fluid injection. Despite the spatial proximity, the lack of a first‐order correlation between seismic records and the total volume of injected fluid requires more comprehensive geomechanical analysis, which accounts for local hydrogeology. Using time‐varying injections at 96 wells and employing a coupled linear poroelastic model, we simulate the spatiotemporal evolution of pore pressure and poroelastic stresses during 2007–2015. The overall contribution of poroelastic stresses to Coulomb failure stress change is ~10% of that of pore pressure; however, both can explain the spatiotemporal distribution of earthquakes. We use a seismicity rate model to calculate earthquake magnitude exceedance probability due to stress changes. The obtained time‐dependent seismic hazard is heterogeneous in space and time. Decreasing injection rates does not necessarily reduce probabilities immediately.

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42

Citations

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References

Details

Published: May 22, 2018
Vol/Issue: 45(10)
Pages: 4743-4753
License: View

Authors

G

Guang Zhai

School of Earth and Space Exploration Arizona State University Tempe AZ USA

M

Manoochehr Shirzaei

School of Earth and Space Exploration Arizona State University Tempe AZ USA

Funding

National Science Foundation Award: EAR1344424

National Aeronautics and Space Administration Award: NNX17AD98G

Cite This Article

Guang Zhai, Manoochehr Shirzaei (2018). Fluid Injection and Time‐Dependent Seismic Hazard in the Barnett Shale, Texas. Geophysical Research Letters, 45(10), 4743-4753. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018gl077696

Fluid Injection and Time‐Dependent Seismic Hazard in the Barnett Shale, Texas

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