El Niño modulations over the past seven centuries

Shang-Ping Xie; Edward R. Cook; Mariano S. Morales; Duncan A. Christie; Nathaniel C. Johnson; FAHU CHEN; Rosanne D’Arrigo; Anthony M. Fowler; Xiaohua Gou; Keyan Fang

doi:10.1038/nclimate1936

journal article Jul 02, 2013

El Niño modulations over the past seven centuries

Shang-Ping Xie

Edward R. Cook

Mariano S. Morales Duncan A. Christie Nathaniel C. Johnson FAHU CHEN

Rosanne D’Arrigo Anthony M. Fowler Xiaohua Gou Keyan Fang

Nature Climate Change Vol. 3 No. 9 pp. 822-826 · Springer Science and Business Media LLC

View at Publisher Save 10.1038/nclimate1936

Topics

No keywords indexed for this article. Browse by subject →

References

30

[1]

McPhaden, M. J., Zebiak, S. E. & Glantz, M. H. ENSO as an integrating concept in earth science. Science 314, 1740–1745 (2006). 10.1126/science.1132588

[2]

Deser, C., Alexander, M. A., Xie, S.-P. & Phillips, A. S. Sea surface temperature variability: Patterns and mechanisms. Annu. Rev. Mar. Sci. 2, 115–143 (2010). 10.1146/annurev-marine-120408-151453

[3]

Guilyardi, E. et al. Understanding El Niño in ocean–atmosphere general circulation models: Progress and challenges. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. 90, 325–340 (2009). 10.1175/2008bams2387.1

[4]

The impact of global warming on the tropical Pacific Ocean and El Niño

Mat Collins, Soon-Il An, Wenju Cai et al.

Nature Geoscience 2010 10.1038/ngeo868

[5]

Li, J. et al. Interdecadal modulation of El Niño amplitude during the past millennium. Nature Clim. Change 1, 114–118 (2011). 10.1038/nclimate1086

[6]

Stevenson, S. et al. Will there be a significant change to El Nino in the 21st century? J. Clim. 25, 2129–2145 (2012). 10.1175/jcli-d-11-00252.1

[7]

Urban, F. E., Cole, J. E. & Overpeck, J. T. Influence of mean climate change on climate variability from a 155-year tropical Pacific coral record. Nature 407, 989–993 (2000). 10.1038/35039597

[8]

Cobb, K. M., Charles, C. D., Cheng, H. & Edwards, R. L. El Niño/Southern Oscillation and tropical Pacific climate during the last millennium. Nature 424, 271–276 (2003). 10.1038/nature01779

[9]

Mann, M. E., Bradley, R. S. & Hughes, M. K. Northern Hemisphere temperatures during the past millennium: Inferences, uncertainties, and limitations. Geophys. Res. Lett. 26, 759–762 (1999). 10.1029/1999gl900070

[10]

Chowdary, J. S. et al. Inter-decadal variations in ENSO teleconnection to the Indo-western Pacific for 1870–2007. J. Clim. 25, 1722–1744 (2012). 10.1175/jcli-d-11-00070.1

[11]

Kaplan, A. et al. Analyses of global sea surface temperature 1856–1991. J. Geophys. Res. 103, 18567–18589 (1998). 10.1029/97jc01736

[12]

Trenberth, K. E. & Stepaniak, D. P. Indices of El Niño evolution. J. Clim. 14, 1697–1701 (2001). 10.1175/1520-0442(2001)014<1697:lioeno>2.0.co;2

[13]

An Extension of the Tahiti–Darwin Southern Oscillation Index

C. F. Ropelewski, P. D. Jones

Monthly Weather Review 1987 10.1175/1520-0493(1987)115<2161:aeotts>2.0.co;2

[14]

Robust estimation of background noise and signal detection in climatic time series

Michael E. Mann, Jonathan M. Lees

Climatic Change 1996 10.1007/bf00142586

[15]

A Practical Guide to Wavelet Analysis

Christopher Torrence, Gilbert P. Compo

Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 1998 10.1175/1520-0477(1998)079<0061:apgtwa>2.0.co;2

[16]

Ault, T. R. et al. Intensified decadal variability in tropical climate during the late 19th century. Geophys. Res. Lett. 36, L08602 (2009). 10.1029/2008gl036924

[17]

Wittenberg, A. T. Are historical records sufficient to constrain ENSO simulations? Geophys. Res. Lett. 36, L12702 (2009). 10.1029/2009gl038710

[18]

Gershunov, A., Schneider, N. & Barnett, T. Low-frequency modulation of the ENSO-Indian monsoon rainfall relationship: Signal or noise? J. Clim. 14, 2486–2492 (2001). 10.1175/1520-0442(2001)014<2486:lfmote>2.0.co;2

[19]

Emile-Geay, J., Cobb, K., Mann, M. & Wittenberg, A. T. Estimating central equatorial Pacific SST variability over the past millennium. Part 2: Reconstructions and uncertainties. J. Clim. 26, 2329–2352 (2013). 10.1175/jcli-d-11-00511.1

[20]

Gershunov, A. & Barnett, T. P. Interdecadal modulation of ENSO teleconnections. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. 79, 2715–2726 (1998). 10.1175/1520-0477(1998)079<2715:imoet>2.0.co;2

[21]

Robock, A. Volcanic eruptions and climate. Rev. Geophys. 38, 191–219 (2000). 10.1029/1998rg000054

[22]

Adams, J. B., Mann, M. E. & Ammann, C. M. Proxy evidence for an El Niño-like response to volcanic forcing. Nature 426, 274–278 (2003). 10.1038/nature02101

[23]

D’Arrigo, R., Wilson, R. & Tudhope, A. Impact of volcanic forcing on tropical temperatures during the last four centuries. Nature Geosci. 2, 51–56 (2009). 10.1038/ngeo393

[24]

Mann, M. E., Cane, M. A., Zebiak, S. E. & Clement, A. Volcanic and solar forcing of the tropical Pacific over the past 1000 years. J. Clim. 18, 447–456 (2005). 10.1175/jcli-3276.1

[25]

Emile-Geay, J., Seager, R., Cane, M. A., Cook, E. R. & Haug, G. H. Volcanoes and ENSO over the past millennium. J. Clim. 21, 3134–3148 (2008). 10.1175/2007jcli1884.1

[26]

The Effect of Explosive Tropical Volcanism on ENSO

Shayne McGregor, Axel Timmermann

Journal of Climate 2011 10.1175/2010jcli3990.1

[27]

Siebert, L. & Simkin, T. Volcanoes of the World: An Illustrated Catalog of Holocene Volcanoes and Their Eruptions (Global Volcanism Program Digital Information Series, Smithsonian Institution, GVP-3, 2012).

[28]

An Ocean Dynamical Thermostat

Amy C. Clement, Richard Seager, Mark A. Cane et al.

Journal of Climate 1996 10.1175/1520-0442(1996)009<2190:aodt>2.0.co;2

[29]

Kang, I-S. Influence of zonal mean flow change on stationary wave fluctuations. J. Atmos. Sci. 47, 141–147 (1990). 10.1175/1520-0469(1990)047<0141:iozmfc>2.0.co;2

[30]

Palmer, W. C. Meteorological Drought (US Department of Commerce, 1965).

Cited By

372

Recent advances in dendroclimatology in China

Minhui He, Bao Yang · 2019

Earth-Science Reviews

A Review of Paleo El Niño-Southern Oscillation

Zhengyao Lu, Zhengyu Liu · 2018

Atmosphere

Metrics

372

Citations

30

References

Details

Published: Jul 02, 2013
Vol/Issue: 3(9)
Pages: 822-826
License: View

Authors

S

Shang-Ping Xie

Scripps Institution of Oceanography, University of California, San Diego, 9500 Gilman Drive, La Jolla, CA 92093, USA.

MOE Key Laboratory of Western China's Environmental System Research School of Arid Environment and Climate Change, Lanzhou University Lanzhou 73000 China

Cite This Article

Shang-Ping Xie, Edward R. Cook, Mariano S. Morales, et al. (2013). El Niño modulations over the past seven centuries. Nature Climate Change, 3(9), 822-826. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate1936

El Niño modulations over the past seven centuries

You May Also Like