Predicting species distribution and abundance responses to climate change: why it is essential to include biotic interactions across trophic levels

Wim H. van der Putten; Mirka Macel; Marcel E. Visser

doi:10.1098/rstb.2010.0037

journal article Jul 12, 2010

Predicting species distribution and abundance responses to climate change: why it is essential to include biotic interactions across trophic levels

Wim H. van der Putten Mirka Macel Marcel E. Visser

Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences Vol. 365 No. 1549 pp. 2025-2034 · The Royal Society

View at Publisher Save 10.1098/rstb.2010.0037

Abstract

Current predictions on species responses to climate change strongly rely on projecting altered environmental conditions on species distributions. However, it is increasingly acknowledged that climate change also influences species interactions. We review and synthesize literature information on biotic interactions and use it to argue that the abundance of species and the direction of selection during climate change vary depending on how their trophic interactions become disrupted. Plant abundance can be controlled by aboveground and belowground multitrophic level interactions with herbivores, pathogens, symbionts and their enemies. We discuss how these interactions may alter during climate change and the resulting species range shifts. We suggest conceptual analogies between species responses to climate warming and exotic species introduced in new ranges. There are also important differences: the herbivores, pathogens and mutualistic symbionts of range-expanding species and their enemies may co-migrate, and the continuous gene flow under climate warming can make adaptation in the expansion zone of range expanders different from that of cross-continental exotic species. We conclude that under climate change, results of altered species interactions may vary, ranging from species becoming rare to disproportionately abundant. Taking these possibilities into account will provide a new perspective on predicting species distribution under climate change.

Topics

No keywords indexed for this article. Browse by subject →

References

93

[1]

10.1111/j.1466-8238.2007.00359.x

[2]

Herbivory in global climate change research: direct effects of rising temperature on insect herbivores

Jeffery S. Bale, Gregory J. Masters, Ian D. Hodkinson et al.

Global Change Biology 10.1046/j.1365-2486.2002.00451.x

[3]

10.1016/s0038-0717(98)00069-8

[4]

10.1016/j.tree.2005.08.005

[5]

10.1111/j.1365-2486.2008.01641.x

[6]

10.1111/j.1365-2486.2009.02014.x

[7]

10.1007/s004420050571

[8]

10.1051/forest:19960217

[9]

10.1016/j.jtbi.2006.09.033

[10]

10.1007/bf00031910

[11]

10.1038/nature02322

[12]

Responses of Arctic Tundra to Experimental and Observed Changes in Climate

F. Stuart Chapin, Gaius R. Shaver, Anne E. Giblin et al.

Ecology 10.2307/1939337

[13]

10.1672/2

[14]

10.1890/01-0618

[15]

10.1146/annurev.ecolsys.27.1.305

[16]

Plant species traits are the predominant control on litter decomposition rates within biomes worldwide

William K. Cornwell, Johannes H. C. Cornelissen, Kathryn Amatangelo et al.

Ecology Letters 10.1111/j.1461-0248.2008.01219.x

[17]

10.1038/35842

[18]

10.1016/j.tree.2005.08.009

[19]

10.1038/nature01548

[20]

10.2307/3546002

[21]

10.1016/j.soilbio.2004.08.005

[22]

10.1073/pnas.97.13.7043

[23]

10.1038/nature07474

[24]

10.1111/j.1365-2699.2008.01963.x

[25]

10.1007/s004420050839

[26]

10.1016/s0167-8809(03)00125-7

[27]

10.1038/ismej.2007.89

[28]

10.1098/rspb.2008.1480

[29]

10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2008.01.003

[30]

10.1007/s10980-008-9243-6

[31]

10.1146/annurev.ento.54.110807.090614

[32]

10.1111/j.1461-0248.2004.00687.x

[33]

How does climate warming affect plant‐pollinator interactions?

Stein Joar Hegland, Anders Nielsen, Amparo Lázaro et al.

Ecology Letters 10.1111/j.1461-0248.2008.01269.x

[34]

10.1093/jxb/erh049

[35]

10.1098/rspb.2008.1536

[36]

10.1016/j.baae.2005.12.006

[37]

10.1029/2003rg000143

[38]

10.1016/s0065-2504(07)00004-9

[39]

10.1890/02-0413

[40]

10.1038/nature02807

[41]

10.1890/08-1555.1

[42]

10.1126/science.264.5165.1581

[43]

10.3732/ajb.94.8.1309

[44]

10.2307/2389178

[45]

10.1890/0012-9658(2007)88[424:cvsfil]2.0.co;2

[46]

10.1657/1523-0430(2004)036[0390:cwpsih]2.0.co;2

[47]

10.1890/04-1036

[48]

10.1098/rstb.2010.0015

[49]

10.1890/06-0539

[50]

10.1111/j.1365-2311.2008.00985.x

Showing 50 of 93 references

Cited By

674

Managing climate-change refugia to prevent extinctions

Gunnar Keppel, Diana Stralberg · 2024

Trends in Ecology & Evolution

Experimental evaluation of how biological invasions and climate change interact to alter the vertical assembly of an amphibian community

J. Alex Baecher, Steve A. Johnson · 2023

Journal of Animal Ecology

Integrating animal behaviour into research on multiple environmental stressors: a conceptual framework

Laura K. Lopez, Michael A. Gil · 2023

Biological Reviews

Side-effects of pesticides on non-target insects in agriculture: a mini-review

José Eduardo Serrão, Angelica Plata-Rueda · 2022

Die Naturwissenschaften

Effects of Climate Change on the Distribution of Key Native Dung Beetles in South American Grasslands

Maria Eduarda Maldaner, Thadeu Sobral-Souza · 2021

Agronomy

Climate change is likely to affect the distribution but not parapatry of the Brazilian marmoset monkeys ( Callithrix spp.)

Alan Gerhardt Braz, Maria Lucia Lorini · 2018

Diversity and Distributions

Climate change could drive marine food web collapse through altered trophic flows and cyanobacterial proliferation

Hadayet Ullah, Ivan Nagelkerken · 2018

PLOS Biology

Dung beetle species interactions and multifunctionality are affected by an experimentally warmed climate

Eleanor M. Slade, Tomas Roslin · 2016

Oikos

Global test of Eltonian niche conservatism of nonnative freshwater fish species between their native and introduced ranges

Lise Comte, Julien Cucherousset · 2016

Ecography

Global diversity and geography of soil fungi

Leho Tedersoo, Mohammad Bahram · 2014

Science

It is getting hotter in here: determining and projecting the impacts of global environmental change on drylands

Fernando T. Maestre, Roberto Salguero-Gómez · 2012

Philosophical Transactions of the R...

Climate change, biotic interactions and ecosystem services

Jose M. Montoya, Dave Raffaelli · 2010

Philosophical Transactions of the R...

Metrics

674

Citations

93

References

Details

Published: Jul 12, 2010
Vol/Issue: 365(1549)
Pages: 2025-2034
License: View

Authors

W

Wim H. van der Putten

Department of Terrestrial Ecology, Netherlands Institute of Ecology (NIOO-KNAW), PO Box 40, 6666 ZG Heteren, The Netherlands; Laboratory of Nematology, Wageningen University and Research Centre, PO Box 8123, 6700 ES Wageningen, The Netherlands

M

Mirka Macel

Department of Terrestrial Ecology, Netherlands Institute of Ecology (NIOO-KNAW), PO Box 40, 6666 ZG Heteren, The Netherlands

M

Marcel E. Visser

Department of Animal Ecology, Netherlands Institute of Ecology (NIOO-KNAW), PO Box 40, 6666 ZG Heteren, The Netherlands

Cite This Article

Wim H. van der Putten, Mirka Macel, Marcel E. Visser (2010). Predicting species distribution and abundance responses to climate change: why it is essential to include biotic interactions across trophic levels. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 365(1549), 2025-2034. https://doi.org/10.1098/rstb.2010.0037

Predicting species distribution and abundance responses to climate change: why it is essential to include biotic interactions across trophic levels

You May Also Like