Europe's freshwater biodiversity under climate change: distribution shifts and conservation needs

Danijela Marković; Savrina Carrizo; Jörg Freyhof; Nuria Cid; Szabolcs Lengyel; Mathias Scholz; Hans Kasperdius; William Darwall

doi:10.1111/ddi.12232

journal article Jun 27, 2014

Europe's freshwater biodiversity under climate change: distribution shifts and conservation needs

Danijela Marković

Savrina Carrizo Jörg Freyhof

Nuria Cid Szabolcs Lengyel

Mathias Scholz Hans Kasperdius William Darwall

Diversity and Distributions Vol. 20 No. 9 pp. 1097-1107 · Wiley

View at Publisher Save 10.1111/ddi.12232

Abstract

AbstractAimTo assess the future climatic suitability of European catchments for freshwater species and the future utility of the current network of protected areas.LocationEurope.MethodsUsing recently updated catchment‐scale species data and climate projections from multiple climate models, we assessed the climate change threat by the 2050s for 1648 European freshwater plants, fishes, molluscs, odonates, amphibians, crayfish and turtles for two dispersal scenarios and identified hotspots of change at three spatial scales: major river basins, countries and freshwater ecoregions. We considered both common species and the often overlooked rare species. To set our findings within the context of current and future conservation networks, we evaluated the coverage of freshwater biodiversity by Europe's protected area network.ResultsSix per cent of common and 77% of rare species are predicted to lose more than 90% of their current range. Eight fish species and nine mollusc species are predicted to experience 100% range loss under climate change. As the most species‐rich group, molluscs are particularly vulnerable due to the high proportion of rare species and their relatively limited ability to disperse. Furthermore, around 50% of molluscs and fish species will have no protected area coverage given their projected distributions.Main conclusionsWe identified the species most at threat due to projected changes in both catchment suitability and representation within the European protected area network. Our findings suggest an urgent need for freshwater management plans to facilitate adaptation to climate change.

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Citations

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References

Details

Published: Jun 27, 2014
Vol/Issue: 20(9)
Pages: 1097-1107
License: View

Authors

D

Danijela Marković

Leibniz‐Institute of Freshwater Ecology and Inland Fisheries Müggelseedamm 310 12587 Berlin Germany

S

Savrina Carrizo

Freshwater Biodiversity Unit IUCN Global Species Programme 219c Huntingdon Road Cambridge CB3 ODL UK

J

Jörg Freyhof

Leibniz‐Institute of Freshwater Ecology and Inland Fisheries Müggelseedamm 310 12587 Berlin Germany

N

Nuria Cid

Institute for Environment and Sustainability DG Joint Research Centre European Commission Via E. Fermi 2749 I‐21027 Ispra VA Italy

S

Szabolcs Lengyel

Department of Tisza River Research Danube Research Institute Centre for Ecological Research Hungarian Academy of Sciences Bemtér 18/c 4026 Debrecen Hungary

M

Mathias Scholz

Department Conservation Biology UFZ – Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research Permoserstr. 15 04318 Leipzig Germany

H

Hans Kasperdius

Department Conservation Biology UFZ – Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research Permoserstr. 15 04318 Leipzig Germany

W

William Darwall

Freshwater Biodiversity Unit IUCN Global Species Programme 219c Huntingdon Road Cambridge CB3 ODL UK

Funding

European Commission Award: 226874

Cite This Article

Danijela Marković, Savrina Carrizo, Jörg Freyhof, et al. (2014). Europe's freshwater biodiversity under climate change: distribution shifts and conservation needs. Diversity and Distributions, 20(9), 1097-1107. https://doi.org/10.1111/ddi.12232

Europe's freshwater biodiversity under climate change: distribution shifts and conservation needs

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