Impact assessment of rainfall scenarios and land‐use change on hydrologic response using synthetic Area IDF curves

P. Luo; Apip; Boqu He; W. Duan; K. Takara; D. Nover

doi:10.1111/jfr3.12164

journal article Jul 20, 2015

Impact assessment of rainfall scenarios and land‐use change on hydrologic response using synthetic Area IDF curves

P. Luo

Apip Boqu He W. Duan K. Takara D. Nover

Journal of Flood Risk Management Vol. 11 No. S1 · Wiley

View at Publisher Save 10.1111/jfr3.12164

Abstract

AbstractIn combination with land use change, climate change is increasingly leading to extreme weather conditions and consequently novel hydrologic conditions. Rainfall Area intensity‐duration‐frequency (IDF) curves, commonly used tools for modeling hydrology and managing flood risk can be used to assess hydrologic response under extreme rainfall conditions. We explore the influence of land use change on hydrologic response under designed extreme rainfall over the period 1976 to 2006 in the Kamo River basin. Run‐off for all six designed rainfall shapes under 2006 land use is higher than that under 1976 land use, but the timing of peak discharge under 2006 land use occurs at roughly the same time as that under 1976 land use. Results indicate that run‐off under 2006 land use yielded higher discharge than under 1976 land use, and rainfall shape six leads to the most extreme hydrologic response and most dangerous conditions from the perspective of urban planning and flood risk management. Future hydrologic response will differ from present due both to changes in land cover and changes in extreme rainfall patterns requiring modification to Area IDF curves for catchments.

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Details

Published: Jul 20, 2015
Vol/Issue: 11(S1)
License: View

Authors

P

P. Luo

State Key Laboratory of Lake Science and Environment (SKLLSE) Nanjing Institute of Geography and Limnology Chinese Academy of Sciences (CAS) Nanjing China; Institute for the Advanced Study of Sustainability (UNU‐IAS) United Nations University Shibuya Tokyo Japan; Disaster Prevention Research Institute (DPRI) Kyoto University Uji Kyoto Japan

A

Apip

Research Centre for Limnology Indonesian Institute of Sciences (LIPI) Cibinong Indonesia

B

Boqu He

State Key Laboratory of Lake Science and Environment (SKLLSE) Nanjing Institute of Geography and Limnology Chinese Academy of Sciences (CAS) Nanjing China

W

W. Duan

State Key Laboratory of Lake Science and Environment (SKLLSE) Nanjing Institute of Geography and Limnology Chinese Academy of Sciences (CAS) Nanjing China

K

K. Takara

Disaster Prevention Research Institute (DPRI) Kyoto University Uji Kyoto Japan

D

D. Nover

AAAS Science and Technology Policy Fellow U.S. Agency for International Development Ghana West Africa

Funding

National Natural Science Foundation of China Award: 41471460

Japan Institute of Country-ology and Engineering (JICE) Award: 13003

‘One Hundred Talents Program?????? of Chinese Academy of Sciences

“Water and Urban Initiative?????? at the United Nations University - Institute for the Advanced Study of Sustainability (UNU-IAS)

Cite This Article

P. Luo, Apip, Boqu He, et al. (2015). Impact assessment of rainfall scenarios and land‐use change on hydrologic response using synthetic Area IDF curves. Journal of Flood Risk Management, 11(S1). https://doi.org/10.1111/jfr3.12164

Impact assessment of rainfall scenarios and land‐use change on hydrologic response using synthetic Area IDF curves

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