Asymmetric Effects of Exchange Rate Changes and the J‐curve: New Evidence from 61 Malaysia–Thailand Industries

Mohsen Bahmani‐Oskooee; Muhammad Aftab

doi:10.1111/rode.12298

journal article Dec 07, 2016

Asymmetric Effects of Exchange Rate Changes and the J‐curve: New Evidence from 61 Malaysia–Thailand Industries

Mohsen Bahmani‐Oskooee Muhammad Aftab

Review of Development Economics Vol. 21 No. 4 · Wiley

View at Publisher Save 10.1111/rode.12298

Abstract

AbstractResearch on the impact of currency depreciation on the trade balance is now moving in a new direction by incorporating nonlinear dynamic adjustment of the exchange rate and by using a nonlinear approach to error‐correction modeling and cointegration. Using these advances, researchers find not only more evidence of the J‐curve effect, but also new evidence of asymmetric effects of exchange rate changes on the trade balance. We contribute to this line of research by using monthly trade flow data from 61 two‐digit industries that trade between Malaysia and Thailand, and show that not only does currency depreciation have favorable effects on the trade balance of more industries, but the long‐run effects are asymmetric in 26 out of 61 cases. In line with current literature, our nonlinear model performs much better than the linear model when industry level data are used.

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Details

Published: Dec 07, 2016
Vol/Issue: 21(4)
License: View

Authors

M

Mohsen Bahmani‐Oskooee

The Center for Research on International Economics and Department of Economics The University of Wisconsin—Milwaukee PO Box 413 Milwaukee WI 53201 USA

M

Muhammad Aftab

Department of Finance and Banking University of Malaya Kuala Lumpur Malaysia

Cite This Article

Mohsen Bahmani‐Oskooee, Muhammad Aftab (2016). Asymmetric Effects of Exchange Rate Changes and the J‐curve: New Evidence from 61 Malaysia–Thailand Industries. Review of Development Economics, 21(4). https://doi.org/10.1111/rode.12298

Asymmetric Effects of Exchange Rate Changes and the J‐curve: New Evidence from 61 Malaysia–Thailand Industries

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