Community-level regulation of temporal trends in biodiversity

R. M. Sibly, J. Hone, Population growth rate and its determinants: An overview. Philos. Trans. R. Soc. London Ser. B 357, 1153–1170 (2002). 10.1098/rstb.2002.1117

[2]

H. Leirs, N. C. Stenseth, J. D. Nichols, J. E. Hines, R. Verhagen, W. Verheyen, Stochastic seasonality and nonlinear density-dependent factors regulate population size in an African rodent. Nature 389, 176–180 (1997). 10.1038/38271

[3]

10.1007/s100219900037

[4]

B. C. Patten, E. P. Odum, The cybernetic nature of ecosystems. Am. Nat. 118, 886–895 (1981). 10.1086/283881

[5]

R. E. Ulanowicz, Aristotelean causalities in ecosystem development. Oikos 57, 42–48 (1990). 10.2307/3565734

[6]

J. H. Brown, S. K. M. Ernest, J. M. Parody, J. P. Haskell, Regulation of diversity: Maintenance of species richness in changing environments. Oecologia 126, 321–332 (2001). 10.1007/s004420000536

[7]

S. K. M. Ernest, J. H. Brown, K. M. Thibault, E. P. White, J. R. Goheen, Zero sum, the niche, and metacommunities: Long-term dynamics of community assembly. Am. Nat. 172, E257–E269 (2008). 10.1086/592402

[8]

The Causes and Consequences of Compensatory Dynamics in Ecological Communities

Andrew Gonzalez, Michel Loreau

Annual Review of Ecology, Evolution, and Systemati... 10.1146/annurev.ecolsys.39.110707.173349

[9]

S. D. Connell, G. Ghedini, Resisting regime-shifts: The stabilising effect of compensatory processes. Trends Ecol. Evol. 30, 513–515 (2015). 10.1016/j.tree.2015.06.014

[10]

P. Turchin Complex Population Dynamics: A Theoretical/Empirical Synthesis (Princeton Univ. Press 2003) 456 pp.

[11]

Testing for unit roots in autoregressive-moving average models of unknown order

SAID E. SAID, David A. Dickey

Biometrika 1984 10.1093/biomet/71.3.599

[12]

W. H. Green Econometric Analysis (Prentice Hall ed. 5 2002).

[13]

L. Van Valen, A new evolutionary law. Evol. Theor. 1, 1–30 (1973).

[14]

D. H. Wright, Species-energy theory: An extension of species-area theory. Oikos 41, 496–506 (1983). 10.2307/3544109

[15]

D. L. Rabosky, A. H. Hurlbert, Species richness at continental scales is dominated by ecological limits. Am. Nat. 185, 572–583 (2015). 10.1086/680850

[16]

J. HilleRisLambers, P. B. Adler, W. S. Harpole, J. M. Levine, M. M. Mayfield, Rethinking community assembly through the lens of coexistence theory. Annu. Rev. Ecol. Evol. Syst. 43, 227–248 (2012). 10.1146/annurev-ecolsys-110411-160411

[17]

Biodiversity: Population Versus Ecosystem Stability

David Tilman

Ecology 1996 10.2307/2265614

[18]

O. Allouche, R. Kadmon, A general framework for neutral models of community dynamics. Ecol. Lett. 12, 1287–1297 (2009). 10.1111/j.1461-0248.2009.01379.x

[19]

R. H. MacArthur E. O. Wilson The Theory of Island Biogeography (Princeton Univ. Press 1967).

[20]

D. Simberloff, When is an island community in equilibrium? Science 220, 1275–1277 (1983). 10.1126/science.220.4603.1275

[21]

10.1126/sciadv.1600842

[22]

H. Horn Markovian processes in forest succession in Ecology and Evolution of Communities M. L. Cody J. M. Diamond Eds. (Harvard Univ. Press 1975) pp. 196–213.

[23]

10.1890/13-0895.1

[24]

A Variance Test for Detecting Species Associations, with Some Example Applications

Dolph Schluter

Ecology 1984 10.2307/1938071

[25]

J. E. Houlahan, D. J. Currie, K. Cottenie, G. S. Cumming, S. K. M. Ernest, C. S. Findlay, S. D. Fuhlendorf, U. Gaedke, P. Legendre, J. J. Magnuson, B. H. McArdle, E. H. Muldavin, D. Noble, R. Russell, R. D. Stevens, T. J. Willis, I. P. Woiwod, S. M. Wondzell, Compensatory dynamics are rare in natural ecological communities. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U.S.A. 104, 3273–3277 (2007). 10.1073/pnas.0603798104

[26]

J. Bongaarts, Development: Slow down population growth. Nature 530, 409–412 (2016). 10.1038/530409a

[27]

The Pace of Shifting Climate in Marine and Terrestrial Ecosystems

Michael T. Burrows, David S. Schoeman, Lauren B. Buckley et al.

Science 10.1126/science.1210288

[28]

R. N. Mack, D. Simberloff, W. M. Lonsdale, H. Evans, M. Clout, F. A. Bazzaz, Biotic invasions: Causes, epidemiology, global consequences, and control. Ecol. Appl. 10, 689–710 (2000). 10.1890/1051-0761(2000)010[0689:bicegc]2.0.co;2

[29]

Partitioning the turnover and nestedness components of beta diversity

Andrés Baselga

Global Ecology and Biogeography 10.1111/j.1466-8238.2009.00490.x

[30]

D. A. Wardle, K. I. Bonner, G. M. Barker, G. W. Yeates, K. S. Nicholson, R. D. Bardgett, R. N. Watson, A. Ghani, Plant removals in perennial grassland: Vegetation dynamics, decomposers, soil biodiversity, and ecosystem properties. Ecol. Monogr. 69, 535–568 (1999). 10.1890/0012-9615(1999)069[0535:pripgv]2.0.co;2

[31]

L. Benedetti-Cecchi, F. Pannacciulli, F. Bulleri, P. S. Moschella, L. Airoldi, G. Relini, F. Cinelli, Predicting the consequences of anthropogenic disturbance: Large-scale effects of loss of canopy algae on rocky shores. Mar. Ecol. Prog. Ser. 214, 137–150 (2001). 10.3354/meps214137

[32]

The use of chronosequences in studies of ecological succession and soil development

Lawrence R. Walker, David A. Wardle, Richard D. Bardgett et al.

Journal of Ecology 2010 10.1111/j.1365-2745.2010.01664.x

[33]

B. J. McGill, M. Dornelas, N. J. Gotelli, A. E. Magurran, Fifteen forms of biodiversity trend in the Anthropocene. Trends Ecol. Evol. 30, 104–113 (2015). 10.1016/j.tree.2014.11.006

[34]

10.1038/ncomms9405

[35]

Assemblage Time Series Reveal Biodiversity Change but Not Systematic Loss

Maria Dornelas, Nicholas J. Gotelli, Brian McGill et al.

Science 10.1126/science.1248484

[36]

A. Gonzales, B. J. Cardinale, G. R. H. Allington, J. Byrnes, K. Arthur Endsley, D. G. Brown, D. U. Hooper, F. Isbell, M. I. O’Connor, M. Loreau, Estimating local biodiversity change: A critique of papers claiming no net loss of local diversity. Ecology 97, 1949–1960 (2016). 10.1890/15-1759.1

[37]

B. Cardinale, Overlooked local biodiversity loss. Science 344, 1098 (2014). 10.1126/science.344.6188.1098-a

[38]

M. Dornelas, N. J. Gotelli, B. McGill, A. E. Magurran, Overlooked local biodiversity loss—Response. Science 344, 1098–1099 (2014). 10.1126/science.344.6188.1098-b

[39]

Let the concept of trait be functional!

Cyrille Violle, Marie‐Laure Navas, Denis Vile et al.

Oikos 10.1111/j.0030-1299.2007.15559.x

[40]

TRY – a global database of plant traits

J. Kattge, S. DÍAZ, S. LAVOREL et al.

Global Change Biology 2011 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2011.02451.x

[41]

J. Wu, O. L. Loucks, From balance of nature to hierarchical patch dynamics: A paradigm shift in ecology. Quart. Rev. Biol. 70, 439–466 (1995). 10.1086/419172

[42]

S. L. Pimm, A. Redfearn, The variability of population-densities. Nature 334, 613–614 (1988). 10.1038/334613a0

[43]

W. Dodds Laws Theories and Patterns in Ecology (University of California Press 2011).

[44]

S. M. Scheiner M. R. Willig The Theory of Ecology (University of Chicago Press 2011). 10.7208/chicago/9780226736877.001.0001

[45]

C. F. Dormann, O. Schweiger, P. Arens, I. Augenstein, S. Aviron, D. Bailey, J. Baudry, R. Billeter, R. Bugter, R. Bukácek, F. Burel, M. Cerny, R. De Cock, G. De Blust, R. DeFilippi, T. Diekötter, J. Dirksen, W. Durka, P. J. Edwards, M. Frenzel, R. Hamersky, F. Hendrickx, F. Herzog, S. Klotz, B. Koolstra, A. Lausch, D. Le Coeur, J. Liira, J. P. Maelfait, P. Opdam, M. Roubalova, A. Schermann-Legionnet, N. Schermann, T. Schmidt, M. J. M. Smulders, M. Speelmans, P. Simova, J. Verboom, W. van Wingerden, M. Zobel, Prediction uncertainty of environmental change effects on temperate European biodiversity. Ecol. Lett. 11, 235–244 (2008). 10.1111/j.1461-0248.2007.01142.x

[46]

J. E. Fauth, J. Bernardo, M. Camara, W. J. Resetarits Jr., J. Van Buskirk, S. A. McCollum, Simplifying the jargon of community ecology: A conceptual approach. Am. Nat. 147, 282–286 (1996). 10.1086/285850

[47]

Extended Reconstructed Sea Surface Temperature (ERSST) v4 (2016); www.ncdc.noaa.gov/data-access/marineocean-data/extended-reconstructed-sea-surface-temperature-ersst-v4.

[48]

NetCDF (2016); www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/cmb/ersst/v4/netcdf/.

[49]

GIS Climate Change Scenarios (2016); http://www.gisclimatechange.org.

[50]

M. E. Gilpin, J. M. Diamond, Immigration and extinction probabilities for individual species: Relation to incidence functions and species colonization curves. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U.S.A. 78, 392–396 (1981). 10.1073/pnas.78.1.392

Showing 50 of 137 references

Cited By

100

Biodiversity Trends Show an Excess of Both Near Stasis and of Very Large Change

Brian McGill, Faye Moyes · 2026

Ecology Letters

Metrics

100

Citations

137

References

Details

Published: Jul 07, 2017
Vol/Issue: 3(7)

Authors

N

Nicholas J. Gotelli

Department of Biology, University of Vermont, Burlington, VT 05405, USA.

H

Hideyasu Shimadzu

Department of Mathematical Sciences, Loughborough University, Loughborough, Leicestershire LE11 3TU, UK.; Centre for Biological Diversity and Scottish Oceans Institute, School of Biology, University of St. Andrews, St. Andrews, Fife KY16 9TH, UK.

M

Maria Dornelas

Centre for Biological Diversity and Scottish Oceans Institute, School of Biology, University of St. Andrews, St. Andrews, Fife KY16 9TH, UK.

B

Brian McGill

School of Biology and Ecology, Sustainability Solutions Initiative, University of Maine, Orono, ME 04469, USA.

F

Faye Moyes

Centre for Biological Diversity and Scottish Oceans Institute, School of Biology, University of St. Andrews, St. Andrews, Fife KY16 9TH, UK.

A

ANNE E. MAGURRAN

Centre for Biological Diversity and Scottish Oceans Institute, School of Biology, University of St. Andrews, St. Andrews, Fife KY16 9TH, UK.

Cite This Article

Nicholas J. Gotelli, Hideyasu Shimadzu, Maria Dornelas, et al. (2017). Community-level regulation of temporal trends in biodiversity. Science Advances, 3(7). https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.1700315

Community-level regulation of temporal trends in biodiversity

You May Also Like