journal article Open Access May 03, 2022

Alzheimer’s Disease: Key Insights from Two Decades of Clinical Trial Failures

View at Publisher Save 10.3233/jad-215699
Abstract
Given the acknowledged lack of success in Alzheimer’s disease (AD) drug development over the past two decades, the objective of this review was to derive key insights from the myriad failures to inform future drug development. A systematic and exhaustive review was performed on all failed AD compounds for dementia (interventional phase II and III clinical trials from ClinicalTrials.gov) from 2004 to the present. Starting with the initial ∼2,700 AD clinical trials, ∼550 trials met our initial criteria, from which 98 unique phase II and III compounds with various mechanisms of action met our criteria of a failed compound. The two recent reported phase III successes of aducanumab and oligomannate are very encouraging; however, we are awaiting real-world validation of their effectiveness. These two successes against the 98 failures gives a 2.0% phase II and III success rate since 2003, when the previous novel compound was approved. Potential contributing methodological factors for the clinical trial failures were categorized into 1) insufficient evidence to initiate the pivotal trials, and 2) pivotal trial design shortcomings. Our evaluation found that rational drug development principles were not always followed for AD therapeutics development, and the question remains whether some of the failed compounds may have shown efficacy if the principles were better adhered to. Several recommendations are made for future AD therapeutic development. The whole database of the 98 failed compounds is presented in the Supplementary Material.
Topics

No keywords indexed for this article. Browse by subject →

References
86
[1]
Alzheimer’s Association "2019 Alzheimer’s disease facts and figures" Alzheimers Dement (2019) 10.1016/j.jalz.2019.01.010
[2]
Mendez "Early-onset Alzheimer disease and its variants" Continuum (Minneap Minn) (2019)
[3]
Masters "Alzheimer’s disease" Nat Rev Dis Prim (2015) 10.1038/nrdp.2015.56
[4]
Veitch "Understanding disease progression and improving Alzheimer’s disease clinical trials: Recent highlights from the Alzheimer’s Disease Neuroimaging Initiative" Alzheimers Dement (2019) 10.1016/j.jalz.2018.08.005
[5]
The amyloid hypothesis of Alzheimer's disease at 25 years

Dennis J Selkoe, John Hardy

EMBO Molecular Medicine 2016 10.15252/emmm.201606210
[6]
Armstrong "Risk factors for Alzheimer’s disease" Folia Neuropathol (2019) 10.5114/fn.2019.85929
[7]
Tzioras "Invited Review: APOE at the interface of inflammation, neurodegeneration and pathological protein spread in Alzheimer’s disease" Neuropathol Appl Neurobiol (2019) 10.1111/nan.12529
[8]
Wang "The relationship between cholesterol level and Alzheimer’s disease-associated APP proteolysis/Aβ metabolism" Nutr Neurosci (2019) 10.1080/1028415x.2017.1416942
[9]
Kinney "Inflammation as a central mechanism in Alzheimer’s disease" Alzheimers Dement (N Y) (2018) 10.1016/j.trci.2018.06.014
[10]
Calsolaro "Alterations in glucose metabolism in Alzheimer’s disease" Recent Pat Endocr Metab Immune Drug Discov (2016) 10.2174/1872214810666160615102809
[11]
Cenini "Mitochondria as potential targets in Alzheimer disease therapy: An update" Front Pharmacol (2019) 10.3389/fphar.2019.00902
[12]
Mullard "Landmark Alzheimer’s drug approval confounds research community" Nature (2021) 10.1038/d41586-021-01546-2
[13]
Gold "Phase II clinical trials of anti-amyloid β antibodies: When is enough, enough?" Alzheimers Dement (2017) 10.1016/j.trci.2017.04.005
[14]
Cummings "Lessons learned from Alzheimer disease: Clinical trials with negative outcomes" Clin Transl Sci (2018) 10.1111/cts.12491
[15]
Mehta "Why do trials for Alzheimer’s disease drugs keep failing? A discontinued drug perspective for 2010-2015" Expert Opin Investig Drugs (2017) 10.1080/13543784.2017.1323868
[16]
Huynh "Alzheimer’s disease: Biomarkers in the genome, blood, and cerebrospinal fluid" Front Neurol (2017) 10.3389/fneur.2017.00102
[17]
Blennow "Biomarkers for Alzheimer’s disease: Current status and prospects for the future" J Intern Med (2018) 10.1111/joim.12816
[18]
Plascencia-Villa "Status and future directions of clinical trials in Alzheimer’s disease" Int Rev Neurobiol (2020) 10.1016/bs.irn.2020.03.022
[19]
Alzheimer's disease drug development pipeline: 2019

Jeffrey Cummings, Garam Lee, Aaron Ritter et al.

Alzheimer's & Dementia: Translational Research... 2019 10.1016/j.trci.2019.05.008
[20]
Rafii "The pulse of drug development for Alzheimer’s disease" Rev Recent Clin Trials (2010) 10.2174/157488710790820490
[21]
Reconsideration of Amyloid Hypothesis and Tau Hypothesis in Alzheimer's Disease

Fuyuki Kametani, Masato Hasegawa

Frontiers in Neuroscience 2018 10.3389/fnins.2018.00025
[22]
Xue-Shan "Imbalanced cholesterol metabolism in Alzheimer’s disease" Clin Chim Acta (2016) 10.1016/j.cca.2016.02.024
[23]
Ninomiya "Epidemiological evidence of the relationship between diabetes and dementia" Adv Exp Med Biol (2019) 10.1007/978-981-13-3540-2_2
[24]
Shieh "Alzheimer’s disease and diabetes: Insulin signaling as the bridge linking two pathologies" Mol Neurobiol (2020) 10.1007/s12035-019-01858-5
[25]
Arvanitakis "The relation of diabetes to memory function" Curr Neurol Neurosci Rep (2020) 10.1007/s11910-020-01085-9
[26]
Gabin "Association between blood pressure and Alzheimer disease measured up to 27 years prior to diagnosis: The HUNT Study" Alzheimers Res Ther (2017) 10.1186/s13195-017-0262-x
[27]
Nunomura "RNA and oxidative stress in Alzheimer’s disease: Focus on microRNAs" Oxid Med Cell Longev (2020) 10.1155/2020/2638130
[28]
Tönnies "Oxidative stress, synaptic dysfunction, and Alzheimer’s disease" J Alzheimers Dis (2017) 10.3233/jad-161088
[29]
Palmer "Neuroprotective therapeutics for Alzheimer’s disease: Progress and prospects" Trends Pharmacol Sci (2011) 10.1016/j.tips.2010.12.007
[30]
Sampaio "Neurotrophic factors in Alzheimer’s and Parkinson’s diseases: Implications for pathogenesis and therapy" Neural Regen Res (2017) 10.4103/1673-5374.205084
[31]
Choi "Is Alzheimer’s disease a neurogenesis disorder?" Cell Stem Cell (2019) 10.1016/j.stem.2019.06.001
[32]
Pike "Sex and the development of Alzheimer’s disease" J Neurosci Res (2017) 10.1002/jnr.23827
[33]
Honig "Trial of solanezumab for mild dementia due to Alzheimer’s disease" N Engl J Med (2018) 10.1056/nejmoa1705971
[34]
Ostrowitzki "A phase III randomized trial of gantenerumab in prodromal Alzheimer’s disease" Alzheimers Res Ther (2017) 10.1186/s13195-017-0318-y
[35]
Wessels "Efficacy and safety of lanabecestat for treatment of early and mild Alzheimer disease: The AMARANTH and DAYBREAK-ALZ randomized clinical trials" JAMA Neurol (2019) 10.1001/jamaneurol.2019.3988
[36]
Egan "Randomized trial of verubecestat for mild-to-moderate Alzheimer’s disease" N Engl J Med (2018) 10.1056/nejmoa1706441
[37]
Egan "Randomized trial of verubecestat for prodromal Alzheimer’s disease" N Engl J Med (2019) 10.1056/nejmoa1812840
[38]
Lawlor "Nilvadipine in mild to moderate Alzheimer disease: A randomised controlled trial" PLoS Med (2018) 10.1371/journal.pmed.1002660
[39]
DiMasi "Development times and approval success rates for drugs to treat infectious diseases" Clin Pharmacol Ther (2020) 10.1002/cpt.1627
[40]
Scott "Economic analysis of opportunities to accelerate Alzheimer’s disease research and development" Ann N Y Acad Sci (2014) 10.1111/nyas.12417
[41]
Innovation in the pharmaceutical industry: New estimates of R&D costs

Joseph A. DiMasi, Henry G. Grabowski, Ronald W. Hansen

Journal of Health Economics 2016 10.1016/j.jhealeco.2016.01.012
[42]
Hanyu "Pioglitazone improved cognition in a pilot study on patients with Alzheimer’s disease and mild cognitive impairment with diabetes mellitus" J Am Geriatr Soc (2009) 10.1111/j.1532-5415.2009.02067.x
[43]
Sato "Efficacy of PPAR-γ agonist pioglitazone in mild Alzheimer disease" Neurobiol Aging (2011) 10.1016/j.neurobiolaging.2009.10.009
[44]
Geldmacher "A randomized pilot clinical trial of the safety of pioglitazone in treatment of patients with Alzheimer disease" Arch Neurol (2011) 10.1001/archneurol.2010.229
[45]
Hoffman "Less Alzheimer disease neuropathology in medicated hypertensive than nonhypertensive persons" Neurology (2009) 10.1212/01.wnl.0000345881.82856.d5
[46]
Kennelly "Apolipoprotein E genotype-specific short-term cognitive benefits of treatment with the antihypertensive nilvadipine in Alzheimer’s patients–an open-label trial" Int J Geriatr Psychiatry (2012) 10.1002/gps.2735
[47]
Chris Min "Pharmacokinetics and pharmacodynamics of the BACE1 inhibitor verubecestat (MK-8931) in healthy Japanese adults: A randomized, placebo-controlled study" Clin Pharmacol Ther (2019) 10.1002/cpt.1258
[48]
Forman "Safety, tolerability, and pharmacokinetics of the β-site amyloid precursor protein-cleaving enzyme 1 inhibitor verubecestat (MK-8931) in healthy elderly male and female subjects" Clin Transl Sci (2019) 10.1111/cts.12645
[49]
Cebers "AZD3293: Pharmacokinetic and pharmacodynamic effects in healthy subjects and patients with Alzheimer’s disease" J Alzheimers Dis (2017) 10.3233/jad-160701
[50]
Fleisher "Phase 2 safety trial targeting amyloid beta production with a gamma-secretase inhibitor in Alzheimer disease" Arch Neurol (2008) 10.1001/archneur.65.8.1031

Showing 50 of 86 references

Metrics
190
Citations
86
References
Details
Published
May 03, 2022
Vol/Issue
87(1)
Pages
83-100
License
View
Cite This Article
C. Kwon Kim, Yin Rui Lee, Lynnett Ong, et al. (2022). Alzheimer’s Disease: Key Insights from Two Decades of Clinical Trial Failures. Journal of Alzheimer’s Disease, 87(1), 83-100. https://doi.org/10.3233/jad-215699
Related

You May Also Like

Religious Orders Study and Rush Memory and Aging Project

David A. Bennett, Aron S. Buchman · 2018

1,184 citations

The Amyloid-β Oligomer Hypothesis: Beginning of the Third Decade

Erika N. Cline, Maíra Assunção Bicca · 2018

780 citations

Linguistic Features Identify Alzheimer’s Disease in Narrative Speech

Kathleen C. Fraser, Jed A. Meltzer · 2015

548 citations