journal article Open Access Apr 07, 2026

Comparative Diagnostic Performance of Artificial Intelligence Versus Conventional Approaches for Early Detection of Mosquito-Borne Viral Infections: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis, with Evidence Predominantly from Dengue Studies

View at Publisher Save 10.3390/make8040093
Abstract
Background: Early differentiation of mosquito-borne viral infections from other causes of acute febrile illness remains challenging, particularly in endemic and resource-limited settings. Artificial intelligence (AI) models have been proposed to improve early diagnosis, but their incremental value over conventional approaches is unclear. Methods: We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of comparative studies evaluating AI/machine learning models versus conventional approaches (clinical assessment, laboratory-based pathways, or traditional statistical models) for early detection of mosquito-borne viral infections. PubMed, Embase, and Scopus were searched through August 2025. Paired performance metrics were synthesized using fixed- and random-effects models. Outcomes included AUC, sensitivity, specificity, accuracy, positive predictive value (PPV), and negative predictive value (NPV). Risk of bias was assessed using PROBAST. Results: Thirteen studies met inclusion criteria. Under random-effects models, AI improved sensitivity (ES = 2.64, p = 0.028), specificity (ES = 5.55, p < 0.001), accuracy (ES = 3.19, p < 0.001), and NPV (ES = 13.84, p < 0.001). No consistent advantage was observed for AUC, and PPV findings were inconsistent. Substantial heterogeneity was present across outcomes (I2 = 100%). Most studies relied on internal validation, and PROBAST identified high risk of bias in the analysis domain in over half. Conclusions: AI-based models may enhance threshold-dependent performance metrics, supporting their use as adjunctive decision-support tools for early triage and case exclusion, while external validation and implementation-focused research remain essential.
Topics

No keywords indexed for this article. Browse by subject →

References
53
[1]
Capeding, M.R., Chua, M.N., Hadinegoro, S.R., Hussain, I.I.H.M., Nallusamy, R., Pitisuttithum, P., Rusmil, K., Thisyakorn, U., Thomas, S.J., and Huu Tran, N. (2013). Dengue and Other Common Causes of Acute Febrile Illness in Asia: An Active Surveillance Study in Children. PLoS Negl. Trop. Dis., 7. 10.1371/journal.pntd.0002331
[2]
Ravel, F., Robert, S., Djibougou, D.A., Horo, K., Tanon, A., Ango, P., Lompo, P.F., Meynier, F., Brossault, L., and Guler, U. (2025). Improving Management of Viral Febrile Illness and Reducing the Need for Empiric Antibiotics Using VIDAS® Immunoassay for Dengue and Chikungunya: A West African Multicentric Study. Diagnostics, 15. 10.3390/diagnostics15172269
[3]
Gianfredi "Knowledge and Attitudes towards Zika Virus: An Italian Nation-Wide Cross-Sectional Study" Ann. Ist. Super. Sanita (2022)
[4]
Bustos Carrillo, F.A., Ojeda, S., Sanchez, N., Plazaola, M., Collado, D., Miranda, T., Saborio, S., Lopez Mercado, B., Carey Monterrey, J., and Arguello, S. (2025). A Comparative Analysis of Dengue, Chikungunya, and Zika in a Pediatric Cohort over 18 Years. medRxiv, 2025.01.06.25320089. 10.1101/2025.01.06.25320089
[5]
Piantadosi "Diagnostic Approach for Arboviral Infections in the United States" J. Clin. Microbiol. (2020) 10.1128/jcm.01926-19
[6]
Arrubla-Hoyos, W., Gómez, J.G., and De-La-Hoz-Franco, E. (2024). Methodology for the Differential Classification of Dengue and Chikungunya According to the PAHO 2022 Diagnostic Guide. Viruses, 16. 10.3390/v16071088
[7]
"Clinical and Differential Diagnosis: Dengue, Chikungunya and Zika" Rev. Médica Hosp. Gen. México (2018) 10.1016/j.hgmx.2016.09.011
[8]
da Silva Neto, S.R., Tabosa Oliveira, T., Teixeira, I.V., Aguiar de Oliveira, S.B., Souza Sampaio, V., Lynn, T., and Endo, P.T. (2022). Machine Learning and Deep Learning Techniques to Support Clinical Diagnosis of Arboviral Diseases: A Systematic Review. PLoS Negl. Trop. Dis., 16. 10.1371/journal.pntd.0010061
[9]
Pinto, A., Pennisi, F., Odelli, S., De Ponti, E., Veronese, N., Signorelli, C., Baldo, V., and Gianfredi, V. (2025). Artificial Intelligence in the Management of Infectious Diseases in Older Adults: Diagnostic, Prognostic, and Therapeutic Applications. Biomedicines, 13. 10.3390/biomedicines13102525
[10]
Pennisi, F., Pinto, A., Borgonovo, F., Scaglione, G., Ligresti, R., Santangelo, O.E., Provenzano, S., Gori, A., Baldo, V., and Signorelli, C. (2026). Artificial Intelligence Models for Forecasting Mosquito-Borne Viral Diseases in Human Populations: A Global Systematic Review and Comparative Performance Analysis. Mach. Learn. Knowl. Extr., 8. 10.3390/make8010015
[11]
Attai, K., Amannejad, Y., Vahdat Pour, M., Obot, O., and Uzoka, F.-M. (2022). A Systematic Review of Applications of Machine Learning and Other Soft Computing Techniques for the Diagnosis of Tropical Diseases. Trop. Med. Infect. Dis., 7. 10.3390/tropicalmed7120398
[12]
Ozer "Improved Machine Learning Performances with Transfer Learning to Predicting Need for Hospitalization in Arboviral Infections against the Small Dataset" Neural Comput. Appl. (2021) 10.1007/s00521-021-06133-0
[13]
Cruz-Parada, E., Vivar-Estudillo, G., Pérez-Campos Mayoral, L., Hernández-Huerta, M.T., Pérez-Santiago, A.D., Romero-Diaz, C., Pérez-Campos Mayoral, E., Montalvo, I.A.G., Martínez-Martínez, L., and Martínez-Ruiz, H. (2026). Proof-of-Concept Machine Learning Framework for Arboviral Disease Classification Using Literature-Derived Synthetic Data: Methodological Development Preceding Clinical Validation. Healthcare, 14. 10.3390/healthcare14020247
[14]
Pennisi, F., Pinto, A., Ricciardi, G.E., Signorelli, C., and Gianfredi, V. (2025). The Role of Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning Models in Antimicrobial Stewardship in Public Health: A Narrative Review. Antibiotics, 14. 10.3390/antibiotics14020134
[15]
Pinto "Evaluating the Impact of Artificial Intelligence in Antimicrobial Stewardship: A Comparative Meta-Analysis with Traditional Risk Scoring Systems" Infect. Dis. Now (2025) 10.1016/j.idnow.2025.105090
[16]
Tabosa de Oliveira, T., da Silva Neto, S.R., Teixeira, I.V., Aguiar de Oliveira, S.B., de Almeida Rodrigues, M.G., Sampaio, V.S., and Endo, P.T. (2022). A Comparative Study of Machine Learning Techniques for Multi-Class Classification of Arboviral Diseases. Front. Trop. Dis., 2. 10.3389/fitd.2021.769968
[17]
Da Silva Neto, S.R., Tabosa, T., Medeiros Neto, L., Teixeira, I.V., Sadok, S., De Souza Sampaio, V., and Endo, P.T. (2023, January 3). Binary Models for Arboviruses Classification Using Machine Learning: A Benchmarking Evaluation. Proceedings of the 56th Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences, Maui, HI, USA. 10.24251/hicss.2023.348
[18]
The PRISMA 2020 statement: an updated guideline for reporting systematic reviews

Matthew J Page, Joanne E McKenzie, Patrick M Bossuyt et al.

BMJ 2021 10.1136/bmj.n71
[19]
The meaning and use of the area under a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve.

J A Hanley, B J McNeil

Radiology 1982 10.1148/radiology.143.1.7063747
[20]
Measuring inconsistency in meta-analyses

Julian P T Higgins, Simon G Thompson, Jonathan J Deeks et al.

BMJ 2003 10.1136/bmj.327.7414.557
[21]
Bias in meta-analysis detected by a simple, graphical test

Matthias Egger, George Davey Smith, Martin Schneider et al.

BMJ 1997 10.1136/bmj.315.7109.629
[22]
PROBAST: A Tool to Assess Risk of Bias and Applicability of Prediction Model Studies: Explanation and Elaboration

Karel G.M. Moons, Robert F. Wolff, Richard D. Riley et al.

Annals of Internal Medicine 2019 10.7326/m18-1377
[23]
Cracknell Daniels, B., Buddhari, D., Hunsawong, T., Iamsirithaworn, S., Farmer, A.R., Cummings, D.A.T., Anderson, K.B., and Dorigatti, I. (2024). Predicting the Infecting Dengue Serotype from Antibody Titre Data Using Machine Learning. PLoS Comput. Biol., 20. 10.1101/2024.05.23.595461
[24]
Falconi-Agapito, F., Kerkhof, K., Merino, X., Bakokimi, D., Torres, F., Van Esbroeck, M., Talledo, M., and Ariën, K.K. (2022). Peptide Biomarkers for the Diagnosis of Dengue Infection. Front. Immunol., 13. 10.3389/fimmu.2022.793882
[25]
Goh, B., Soares Magalhães, R.J., Ciocchetta, S., Liu, W., and Sikulu-Lord, M.T. (2025). Identification of Visible and Near-Infrared Signature Peaks for Arboviruses and Plasmodium Falciparum. PLoS ONE, 20. 10.1371/journal.pone.0321362
[26]
Hasanah "Design and Implementation of an Early Screening Application for Dengue Fever Patients Using Android-Based Decision Tree C4.5 Method" Int. J. Adv. Sci. Eng. Inf. Technol. (2020) 10.18517/ijaseit.10.6.5771
[27]
Ho, T.-S., Weng, T.-C., Wang, J.-D., Han, H.-C., Cheng, H.-C., Yang, C.-C., Yu, C.-H., Liu, Y.-J., Hu, C.H., and Huang, C.-Y. (2020). Comparing Machine Learning with Case-Control Models to Identify Confirmed Dengue Cases. PLoS Negl. Trop. Dis., 14. 10.1371/journal.pntd.0008843
[28]
Hossain "An Intelligent System to Diagnose Chikungunya under Uncertainty" J. Wirel. Mob. Netw. Ubiquitous Comput. Dependable Appl. (2019)
[29]
Mahalakshmi "Prediction of Zika Virus by Multilayer Perceptron Neural Network (MLPNN) Using Cloud" Int. J. Recent Technol. Eng. (IJRTE) (2019) 10.35940/ijrte.b1041.0982s1119
[30]
Obot, O., John, A., Udo, I., Attai, K., Johnson, E., Udoh, S., Nwokoro, C., Akwaowo, C., Dan, E., and Umoh, U. (2023). Modelling Differential Diagnosis of Febrile Diseases with Fuzzy Cognitive Map. Trop. Med. Infect. Dis., 8. 10.3390/tropicalmed8070352
[31]
Riya "Artificial Intelligence-Based Early Detection of Dengue Using CBC Data" IEEE Access (2024) 10.1109/access.2024.3443299
[32]
Sa-Ngamuang, C., Haddawy, P., Luvira, V., Piyaphanee, W., Iamsirithaworn, S., and Lawpoolsri, S. (2018). Accuracy of Dengue Clinical Diagnosis with and without NS1 Antigen Rapid Test: Comparison between Human and Bayesian Network Model Decision. PLoS Negl. Trop. Dis., 12. 10.1371/journal.pntd.0006573
[33]
Sippy, R., Farrell, D.F., Lichtenstein, D.A., Nightingale, R., Harris, M.A., Toth, J., Hantztidiamantis, P., Usher, N., Cueva Aponte, C., and Barzallo Aguilar, J. (2020). Severity Index for Suspected Arbovirus (SISA): Machine Learning for Accurate Prediction of Hospitalization in Subjects Suspected of Arboviral Infection. PLoS Negl. Trop. Dis., 14. 10.1371/journal.pntd.0007969
[34]
Vu, D.M., Krystosik, A.R., Ndenga, B.A., Mutuku, F.M., Ripp, K., Liu, E., Bosire, C.M., Heath, C., Chebii, P., and Maina, P.W. (2023). Detection of Acute Dengue Virus Infection, with and without Concurrent Malaria Infection, in a Cohort of Febrile Children in Kenya, 2014–2019, by Clinicians or Machine Learning Algorithms. PLoS Glob. Public Health, 3. 10.1371/journal.pgph.0001950
[35]
Williams "Integration of Population-Level Data Sources into an Individual-Level Clinical Prediction Model for Dengue Virus Test Positivity" medRxiv (2023)
[36]
Bohm, B.C., de Borges, F.E.M., Silva, S.C.M., Soares, A.T., Ferreira, D.D., Belo, V.S., Lignon, J.S., and Bruhn, F.R.P. (2024). Utilization of Machine Learning for Dengue Case Screening. BMC Public Health, 24. 10.1186/s12889-024-19083-8
[37]
Madewell "Machine Learning for Predicting Severe Dengue in Puerto Rico" Infect. Dis. Poverty (2025) 10.1186/s40249-025-01273-0
[38]
Liu "A Comparative Evaluation of Multiple Machine Learning Approaches for Forecasting Dengue Outbreaks in Bangladesh" Sci. Rep. (2025) 10.1038/s41598-025-19752-7
[39]
Cheong "Forecasting Dengue Cases through Time-Series Modeling with Google Trends and Deep Neural Networks" Chaos Solitons Fractals (2025) 10.1016/j.chaos.2025.117290
[40]
El Kabbani, S., and Saleh, G. (2025). Next-Generation Diagnostic Technologies for Dengue Virus Detection: Microfluidics, Biosensing, CRISPR, and AI Approaches. Sensors, 26. 10.3390/s26010145
[41]
Vongsouvath "Harnessing Dengue Rapid Diagnostic Tests for the Combined Surveillance of Dengue, Zika, and Chikungunya Viruses in Laos" Am. J. Trop. Med. Hyg. (2020) 10.4269/ajtmh.19-0881
[42]
Lu, B., Li, Y., and Evans, C. (2025). Assessing Generalizability of a Dengue Classifier across Multiple Datasets. PLoS ONE, 20. 10.1371/journal.pone.0323886
[43]
Cozzolino "Are AI-Based Surveillance Systems for Healthcare-Associated Infections Ready for Clinical Practice? A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis" Artif. Intell. Med. (2025) 10.1016/j.artmed.2025.103137
[44]
Morone, G., De Angelis, L., Martino Cinnera, A., Carbonetti, R., Bisirri, A., Ciancarelli, I., Iosa, M., Negrini, S., Kiekens, C., and Negrini, F. (2025). Artificial Intelligence in Clinical Medicine: A State-of-the-Art Overview of Systematic Reviews with Methodological Recommendations for Improved Reporting. Front. Digit. Health, 7. 10.3389/fdgth.2025.1550731
[45]
Ong "Predicting Dengue Transmission Rates by Comparing Different Machine Learning Models with Vector Indices and Meteorological Data" Sci. Rep. (2023) 10.1038/s41598-023-46342-2
[46]
Chaw "A Predictive Analytics Model Using Machine Learning Algorithms to Estimate the Risk of Shock Development among Dengue Patients" Healthc. Anal. (2024) 10.1016/j.health.2023.100290
[47]
Gianfredi, V., Bragazzi, N.L., Nucci, D., Martini, M., Rosselli, R., Minelli, L., and Moretti, M. (2018). Harnessing Big Data for Communicable Tropical and Sub-Tropical Disorders: Implications From a Systematic Review of the Literature. Front. Public Health, 6. 10.3389/fpubh.2018.00090
[48]
Santangelo "Infodemiology and Infoveillance of the Four Most Widespread Arbovirus Diseases in Italy" Epidemiologia (2024) 10.3390/epidemiologia5030024
[49]
Ming, D.K., Hernandez, B., Sangkaew, S., Vuong, N.L., Lam, P.K., Nguyet, N.M., Tam, D.T.H., Trung, D.T., Tien, N.T.H., and Tuan, N.M. (2022). Applied Machine Learning for the Risk-Stratification and Clinical Decision Support of Hospitalised Patients with Dengue in Vietnam. PLoS Digit. Health, 1. 10.1371/journal.pdig.0000005
[50]
McCarter "The Evolution of Public Health Statistical Modeling Approaches and How to Advance Their Incorporation into Modern Arboviral Surveillance" J. Med. Entomol. (2026) 10.1093/jme/tjaf127

Showing 50 of 53 references

Metrics
0
Citations
53
References
Details
Published
Apr 07, 2026
Vol/Issue
8(4)
Pages
93
License
View
Cite This Article
Flavia Pennisi, Antonio Pinto, Claudia Cozzolino, et al. (2026). Comparative Diagnostic Performance of Artificial Intelligence Versus Conventional Approaches for Early Detection of Mosquito-Borne Viral Infections: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis, with Evidence Predominantly from Dengue Studies. Machine Learning and Knowledge Extraction, 8(4), 93. https://doi.org/10.3390/make8040093
Related

You May Also Like

A Comprehensive Review of YOLO Architectures in Computer Vision: From YOLOv1 to YOLOv8 and YOLO-NAS

Juan Terven, Diana-Margarita Córdova-Esparza · 2023

2,412 citations

A CNN-BiLSTM Model for Document-Level Sentiment Analysis

Maryem Rhanoui, Mounia Mikram · 2019

245 citations

Causal Discovery with Attention-Based Convolutional Neural Networks

Meike Nauta, Doina Bucur · 2019

197 citations

A Survey of Machine Learning-Based Solutions for Phishing Website Detection

Lizhen Tang, Qusay H. Mahmoud · 2021

151 citations